Al Gore has been talking about Global Warming and even wrote a book about it. I can't say I have read it, but from what I have heard he seems to be in favor of it as a whole. The book was titled "An Inconvenient Truth."
So Mr. Gore, what is Inconvenient about truth? Is it that you spend over $30,000 in utility bills, or that you don't practice what you preach? Source Here. Could be, but I am not sure. But I am certain of one fact. Ignorance is Bliss. Seems any truth which dispels ignorance would be inconvenient. I know that when I am not blissful it is inconvenient. Interruptions are inconvenient as well, especially at dinnertime. See, I got this phone call the other day, and even if its true that I actually could get that rate for refinancing, I don't own the apartment building. Actually that was less inconvenient and more pain in the... lets just say pain for the sake of the younger readers. But back to the book.
After reading the reviews of the book on Amazon.com it seems that some people don't believe in global warming. He may be referring to a specific inconvenient truth, namely global warming. It is obvious that man influences the weather, everyone who has washed their car on a sunny day knows that. It is the modern day rain dance. Umbrella use also seems to cause rain to an even higher degree. I just don't know how all those people coordinate carrying their umbrellas. I must not be getting the right news channel.
It seems some people just can't realize that because two things coincide they are automatically causal. This type of reasoning is so important in science that it has been given its own Latin name, a very rare honor. The phrase is " Post hoc ergo propter hoc," often abreviated to simply post hoc.
It works like this: In past decades there has been a large increase in college admission rates, as well as drug use. So clearly college admission causes drug use. I know I saw some interesting things in my undergrad studies. Yet many people are unwilling to admit that college causes drug use, morons.
Recent trends in global warming coincided with the industrial revolution, and the increase in CO2 output after the second world war, so clearly they are related, right? No. If used incorrectly post hoc analysis can be wrong, as it is in this case.
Al is right, global warming is real. But the problem is not carbon dioxide emissions. He,and so many other scientists picked the wrong causal factor to lay their suppositions on. Tune in on Friday for the shocking truth.
Wednesday, April 11, 2007
More on Global Warming...
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1 comment:
It's so much clearer now. I can't wait for the exciting conclusion!
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